Premier League best bets: Wolverhampton, Crystal Palace provide value

Writtne by sidhanta

After a brief hiatus for World Cup qualifiers, the Premier League roars back this weekend with a full slate of matches and there are two underdogs at decent odds that value-hunters should circle.

Wolves have been a pleasant surprise in their first season under Portuguese manager Bruno Lage and have an outside shot at a Europa League spot with eight matches to go. 

Wolverhampton’s modest success is due in large part to a stingy defense that has the fourth-best defensive record in the Premier League this season.

The underlying metrics do suggest that some negative regression is coming for Wolves, but there’s still a lot to like about this defense, 

Aston Villa attack that has been inconsistent in Steven Gerrard’s 18-match tenure. 

Under Gerrard, Villa have scored 27 goals, but their expected goals sits at just 20.3, for an average of 1.13 per contest.

In short, there’s very little that separates these two clubs. Both teams prefer to grind out results and turn matches into coin flips,

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